Ken Bickers from CU-Boulder and Michael Berry from CU-Denver painstakingly brought together this model by using economic indicators from all 50 states and what it shows is, Romney will get 320 electoral votes, compared to Obama 218. A systematic landslide.
The model also shows that Romney will win every state that is currently considered a swing state. That is Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Minnesota, New Hampshire and Colorado.
Plus Romney will win 52.9 percent of the popular vote to Obama’s 47.1 percent
Berry warns though: "As scholars and pundits well
know, each election has unique elements that could lead one or more states to
behave in ways in a particular election that the model is unable to correctly
predict,"
But the key to this is the economy, says Bicker, which
should put them on track for his prediction, as unemployment is raising to 8.3%,
a bogged down growth rate and just yesterday the CBO warned the US of much
higher unemployment, stagnate growth and stock market downturn in the coming
year.
One last thing. These professors, well they have
correctly forecast every winner of the electoral race since 1980.
2 comments:
I wish these theorists would hush - this race is far too close for the electorate to become complacent.... even IF Romney appears to be ahead, every vote matters - the bigger the landslide, the more convincing the mandate for REAL CHANGE!
Don't want to rain on anyone's parade here, but have you considered the voting fraud the left is perpetrating in America.
Here is a nifty little video:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ylAknbSh8M4
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